On Friday, October 21, 2022, the weather in
Auckland, New Zealand (NZ) was cloudy and the temperature was 16 degrees C.
Since this winter (June-August) was the peak of the COVID-19 pandemic in NZ,
Ania and her family have not traveled for a while, so Ania was planning a
weekend family trip, watching the weather report: sunny and fine weather with a
temperature of 20 degrees.
Ania
used to like to visit Lake Taupo the
most, but at this moment she had to change her plan, even the pandemic
in Auckland has generally slowed down. This time, Ania consulted the
Environmental Research and Science (ESR)'s COVID-19 Wastewater
Surveillance Dashboard, and she changed plans for
her family. Friday, October 21, 2022, the weather in
Auckland, New Zealand (NZ) was cloudy and the temperature was 16 degrees C.
Since this winter (June-August) was the peak of the COVID-19 pandemic in NZ,
Ania and her family have not traveled for a while, so Ania was planning a
weekend family trip, watching the weather report: sunny and fine weather with a
temperature of 20 degrees.
Ania used to like to visit Lake Taupo the
most, but at this moment she had to change her plan, even the pandemic in Auckland has generally slowed down. This time, Ania consulted the
Environmental Research and Science (ESR)'s COVID-19 Wastewater
Surveillance Dashboard, and she changed plans for
her family.
Ania, who lives in Auckland (yellow circle
area in Figure 1), learned from the website that the recent pandemic has
slowed down (upper right in
Figure 1), but many areas are still unstable (red
triangle area in Figure 1). When checking the situation in Lake Taupo,
the map showed a red triangle. Ania took a closer look at the trend chart and
found that although the number of confirmed cases decreased, the wastewater
data showed an increase. Therefore, she changed the location and decided to go
to Kawakawa Bay, where the overall pandemic situation has declined. (Figure 1 map, blue triangle area).
 |
Fig 2: Wastewater Variant Analysis
|
Not only that, but Ania had older and
younger members in her family, so she further checked the situation of
SARS-CoV-2 variants across the country and east of Auckland (Figure 2).
Since NZ was in
a state of competition for multiple variants of the COVID-19 , the scientific uncertainty at the
time was high. Therefore, it was changed to an
outdoor picnic to avoid indoor dining and group gatherings, in order to reducing
the unknown risks of family travel.
However, these data about COVID-19 are
different from the confirmed clinical data familiar to the public (i.e. confirmed
cases, hospitalization, moderate to severe disease, death, etc. in the blue
curve in Figure 1), and
what is this kind of "additional" environmental data?
The green curve in Figure 1 covers 73% of the NZ population, and
the average number of SARS-CoV-2 genomes detected in wastewater per person per
day. This is from the surveillance results of wastewater samples from lavatory,
sinks and drains in households in the community. Most of these shit & poops samples are regularly
collected by an automatic sampler within 24 to 25 hours for testing. After
estimating the number of viruses and analyzing the variants, a weekly
wastewater surveillance report is provided, and finally published on the dashboard
to inform the public of potential local COVID-19 risks. Wellington Laboratory's
NZ National Wastewater Surveillance for COVID-19
footprint work is like the work of a Lavatory Detective Agency.
Taking a closer look at the work of the
"Lavatory Detective Agency" in NZ, it can be roughly divided into
three stages (Figure 3):
 |
Fig 3: Chronicles of New Zealand Lavatory Detective Agency for SARS-CoV-2 Footprints
|
The
first stage of establishment & testing:
In 2020, when the pandemic broke out in the early
stage, the COVID-19 wastewater surveillance project began to be
established in April.
After the alert level was raised to level 4 in May, ESR
and the National Health Coordination Center (NHCC) coordinated the prevention strategy and established a national clinical data repository
(Clinical Data Repository, CDR) for all COVID-19 test reports in laboratories
across the country.
From July to November, closed sampling research was carried
out. On the one hand, it provided a "time snapshot" of wastewater
viruses, and on the other hand, it provided the theoretical basis for NZ's
wastewater surveillance task.
The
second phase of verification & expansion:
During the "Zero COVID" in 2021, in areas
with zero confirmed cases, the evidence of the SARS-CoV-2 footprints has been detected
in wastewater. In Stratford, a small town in the Taranaki (where wastewater
services cover 97%) since July 2021, it has joined the COVID-19 wastewater surveillance
task. For the first time, virus fragments shed after infection with SARS-CoV-2
(or SARS-CoV-2 RNA fragments) were detected in the wastewater samples.
After the wastewater "disease
detective" solved the case based on the above-mentioned closed sampling
research, the Detective Agency continued to strengthen public health measures,
such as community testing and vaccination, canceling some community activities,
and increasing wastewater sampling and testing.
Subsequently, it was found in
Stratford that 6 confirmed cases were all from the same family, and the pandemic
was quickly brought under control. It was not until 3 months later that further
community cases were found in the wastewater, so the results of the COVID-19
wastewater surveillance tasks were verified and has been reported in the World
Health Organization as a case report.
The
third stage of daily wastewater surveillance:
After NZ gave up Zero COVID, it provided new digital
tools for the public to "living with the COVID", allowing the
exploration of the COVID-19 wastewater surveillance report to be like checking
the weather report, helping the public to manage their own safety.
“NZ’s move to self-reporting
has made our official case numbers less reliable than ever before – and that’s
where wastewater testing comes in”, microbiologist Siouxsie Wiles and ESR
geneticist Mike Bunce, the ESR scientists explained.
July 2022, NZ launched
an interactive COVID-19 wastewater dashboard, using new tools to track the COVID-19
footprints, assisting the public to be ware of national and regional pandemic
trends, and providing temporal and spatial visual assistance, such as map area
options and searches. It also supports the comparison of trends in different time
periods as shown in Figure 1
and Figure 2.
So how does NZ's "Lavatory Detective
Agency" establish the relationship between wastewater data and clinical
data?
It was hard to detect SARS-CoV-2 cases
during the time of Zero COVID in NZ. How could NZ solve the problem of
wastewater sensitivity when the virus in wastewater was extremely low? Figure 4 illustrates the
overall research landscape.
 |
Fig 4: Relations between COVID19 clinical and wastewater data
|
In July 2020, ESR selected a community with
a population of about 120,000 to sample wastewater daily in two areas. They are
the Managed Isolation and Quarantine Facility (MIQF) and the wastewater
treatment plant (WWTP).
The left side of Figure 4 is the clinical analysis of COVID-19 that is familiar
to the general public, and the right side is to illustrate the analysis process
of COVID-19 wastewater-based epidemiology (WBE).
The main difference between the two methods
lies
in the source of samples and sampling methods.
The follow-up quality
control is based on the purpose of the researcher, and different viruses are
used as the control group. For example, this study chose to use Feline
Infectious Peritonitis Virus (FIPV) and Murine Norovirus Virus (MNV) as
external process controls to monitor viral copies and evaluate inhibition by
quantitative RT-qPCR.
Subsequent processes such as virus
concentration, RNA extraction, use of PCR to test whether the sample is
positive or negative, or further sequencing are the same as the process of
people testing the virus from nasal swabs.
Finally, using the clinical data in
the EpiSurv surveillance database of the Ministry of Health, four infectious
models (Total Cases, Infectious Cases: reported symptomatic cases or imputed
asymptomatic cases, Relative Infectious Cases, New Daily Cases), compared with
the wastewater data for statistical analysis to confirm the relationship
between clinical cases and wastewater data, and verified that in a
low-infection environment, wastewater data can still help to detect about 10
positive cases in an area of 100,000 people.
 |
Fig 5: COVIDPoops19 snapshot (20230507)
|
Of course, "Lavatory Detective
Agency" is not limited to NZ. At present, there are more than 4,100 surveillancesites in nearly 300 universities in at least 70 countries around the world, all
of which have similar research surveillance works. For example, scientists in
many wastewater research laboratories in the United States, called them
"sewer sleuths" in the journal Nature, these scientific detectives
found that the virus lineages in recent wastewater are closely related to the
lineages of global databases containing millions of sequences. The mismatch,
called "cryptic lineages", finally traced the source of the
SARS-CoV-2 to an office with less than 30 people.
"Lavatory Detective Agency"
detects SARS-CoV-2 footprints in the environment. In the near future,
regardless of whether the next super variant is discovered, this kind of work
to track the source of potential variants will help researchers understand the
biological factors that lead to the mutation, or help ordinary people like Ania
and her family: checking the COVID-19 wastewater data is like checking the
weather data, thus self-risk prevention has become a simple daily routine. And
if scientists or digital engineers want to further use the source data of the NZ
"Lavatory Detective Agency", the "Open Lavatory" provided
by ESR is available in the open database.
Reference:
[1] https://www.health.govt.nz/covid-19-novel-coronavirus/covid-19-health-advice-public/covid-19-wastewater-testing
[2] ESR News: https://www.esr.cri.nz/home/about-esr/media-releases/streamlining-covid-19-laboratory-data-to-ministry-of-health/ ; https://www.scoop.co.nz/stories/SC2005/S00024/sysmex-and-esr-collaborate-on-national-covid-19-results-cdr.htm. 2020/5/12
[3] Hewitt, Joanne, et al. "Sensitivity of wastewater-based epidemiology for detection of SARS-CoV-2 RNA in a low prevalence setting." Water Research 211 (2022): 118032.
[4] Harvey, Helen, "The riddle in the wastewater: Taranaki 'disease detectives' solved a Covid-19 mystery", https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/health/128983961/the-riddle-in-the-wastewater-taranaki-disease-detectives-solved-a-covid19-mystery. 2022/6/18
[5] Siouxsie Wiles and Mike Bunce, "As Covid case counts become less accurate, wastewater testing is riding to the rescue", https://thespinoff.co.nz/science/13-06-2022/as-covid-case-counts-rapidly-lose-accuracy-wastewater-testing-is-riding-to-the-rescue
[6] "ESR launches interactive COVID-19 wastewater dashboard to better track the virus's progress", https://thespinoff.co.nz/science/13-06-2022/as-covid-case-counts-rapidly-lose-accuracy-wastewater-testing-is-riding-to-the-rescue
[7] COVIDPoops19: Summary of Global SARS-CoV-2 Wastewater Monitoring Efforts by UC Merced Researchers Details: https://ucmerced.maps.arcgis.com/apps/dashboards/c778145ea5bb4daeb58d31afee389082
[8] Callaway, Ewen. "These scientists traced a new coronavirus lineage to one office-through sewage." Nature News. https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-022-02996-y. 2022/9/26
[9] ESR Open Data: https://github.com/ESR-NZ/covid_in_wastewater
medium URI: https://medium.com/@andreahuang2019/new-zealand-lavatory-detective-agency-e5d4783c249b