The Excess Mortality of Taiwan and New Zealand for COVID-19
去年年底我擔憂疫苗不良事件, 因此使用 #超額死亡 來觀察可能的影響 [1]。
但反對者聲稱，每年冬天原本就死亡率較高，即使我解釋什麼是超額死亡的定義。
Late last year I was concerned about vaccine adverse events [1],
so I used the #ExcessMortality to look at the possible impact.
But opponents argued that the death rate is inherently higher every winter,
even if I have explained the definition of the Excess Mortality.
4.5個月後，台灣放棄 #清零。
我再重新檢視一次超額死亡，
這一次加入紐西蘭作為對照組(和台灣冬夏相反)，
真實情況更為清晰了。
After 4.5 months, Taiwan gave up the #ZeroCOVID.
I re-examine the the Excess Mortality,
This time, New Zealand was added as a control group (as opposed to Taiwan's winter and summer),
The real situation is quite clearer then.
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[A]: 疫情初期, #COVID檢測量不夠。
[A]: In the early days, there was not enough COVID testings.
[B]: 台灣紐西蘭的清零時期，直到 #EUA疫苗問世。
[B]: The Zero COVID Stage of Taiwan and New Zealand until the EUA vaccine came out.
[C]: 台灣冬天、紐西蘭夏天。紐西蘭EUA疫苗接種。世界 Alpha Wave
[C]: EUA vaccination in New Zealand. Taiwan in winter, New Zealand in summer. Global Alpha Wave.
[D]: 紐西蘭EUA疫苗大規模接種。
[D]: Massive EUA vaccinations in New Zealand.
[E]: 台灣夏天。台灣 [3+11] #疫情爆發事件。
[E]: Taiwan in winter, Taiwan [3+11] COVID outbreak.
[F]: 紐西蘭放棄清零。
[F]: NZ gave up the #ZeroCOVID.
[G]: 台灣、紐西蘭 #EUA疫苗大規模接種。
[G]: Massive EUA vaccinations in TW & NZ.
[H] Omicron Wave. 台灣放棄清零。
[H] Omicron Wave. Taiwan gave up the #ZeroCOVID.
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Source:
[1] https://www.facebook.com/andrea.lse/posts/10223502121915061
[2] Excess Mortality: https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/coronavirus-data-explorer?zoomToSelection=true&facet=none&uniformYAxis=0&pickerSort=asc&pickerMetric=location&Metric=Excess+mortality+%28%25%29&Interval=Weekly&Relative+to+Population=true&Color+by+test+positivity=false&country=TWN~NZL
[3] COVID Deaths: https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/coronavirus-data-explorer?zoomToSelection=true&facet=none&uniformYAxis=0&pickerSort=asc&pickerMetric=location&Metric=Confirmed+deaths&Interval=7-day+rolling+average&Relative+to+Population=true&Color+by+test+positivity=false&country=TWN~NZL
[4} Vaccination: https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/coronavirus-data-explorer?zoomToSelection=true&time=latest&facet=none&pickerSort=asc&pickerMetric=location&Metric=People+vaccinated+%28by+dose%29&Interval=7-day+rolling+average&Relative+to+Population=true&Color+by+test+positivity=false&country=NZL~TWN