At this stage, I have no doubt that #supportZeroCOVID. The reason is in [2].
However, Eric Feigl-Ding Liang made a mistake.
Taiwan is not in the choice of freedom and death.Instead, we give up freedom and stay home as possible as we can without GOV's restrictions. On the other hand, the gov choose the wrong strategy and lead us toward more deaths.
In fact, in the past two years, Taiwan's #ZeroCOVID strategy supported
people were as free as birds,
except the 3+11 event with the 3rd lever alerts.
(May 19 ~ July 26, two months and seven days).
Due to the COVID-19: Stringency Index has been revised and has no old charts online, this post uses the archived fig[3] which was used to "chat" with Twitters on October 1, 2021.(the Figure compared New Zealand, Australia and Taiwan, showing that if #NPIs respond quickly it would save more lives.) In 2022, this chart data has been added the US NPIs [4]
In sum,
The 2022 fig shows that Taiwan's NPIs are the same as the lowest (20~30) like in old times.
The US, New Zealand and Australia have challenged omicron with the level of 40~60 .
Taiwan, 20220407, gives up the #ZeroCOVID, tragically.
Deaths (2022518) a month later surpassed last year's 3+11 peak [4], tragically.
今天的推特出現一則很有趣的推文[1]。
美國華裔流行病學和健康經濟學家丁亮(Eric Feigl-Ding),
新英格蘭復雜系統研究所COVID工作組負責人、
世衛顧問和COVID-19專家委員。
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兩條路的選擇—
台灣放棄了,讓新冠病毒肆虐。
中國大陸並沒有放棄,代價是一些自由。
但台灣的死亡不言自明。
那麼FREEDOM(自由):DEATH(死亡)匯率是多少?
多少自由值得一死?
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我,現階段,毫無疑問 #支持清零。原因是[2]。
不過,丁亮有一點弄錯了。
由於經常使用的 COVID-19: Stringency Index,
2022年改版加入EUA疫苗變數,
圖表介面只提供2022年後的呈現,
因此本文以2021年10月1日和推特網友"聊天"時的 #典藏畫面[3],
(主要比較紐澳台,說明 #NPIs反應快 可以拯救更多生命)
2022年圖表資料加入美國 [4]
小結:
2022顯示台灣NPIs一樣是最低(20~30)
美國、紐澳挑戰omicron(40~60)
很不幸的,台灣在20220407宣布放棄清零。
很不幸的,一個月後518死亡超過去年3+11高峰[4]。
上帝看守保護台灣,阿門!
Source:
[1] 20220520: https://twitter.com/DrEricDing/status/1527449929047760913
[2] 20220123: https://www.facebook.com/andrea.lse/posts/10223685491619189
[3] 20211001: https://twitter.com/andreaweiching/status/1443769789193678853
[4] 20220520: https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/coronavirus-data-explorer?zoomToSelection=true&facet=none&uniformYAxis=0&pickerSort=desc&pickerMetric=population_density&Metric=Confirmed+deaths&Interval=7-day+rolling+average&Relative+to+Population=true&Color+by+test+positivity=false&country=~TWN
[1] 20220520: https://twitter.com/DrEricDing/status/1527449929047760913
[2] 20220123: https://www.facebook.com/andrea.lse/posts/10223685491619189
[3] 20211001: https://twitter.com/andreaweiching/status/1443769789193678853
[4] 20220520: https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/coronavirus-data-explorer?zoomToSelection=true&facet=none&uniformYAxis=0&pickerSort=desc&pickerMetric=population_density&Metric=Confirmed+deaths&Interval=7-day+rolling+average&Relative+to+Population=true&Color+by+test+positivity=false&country=~TWN